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(11-5, 12-4 AGAINST THE SPREAD): +2000 to win Super Bowl XLIV


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The Ravens were one of the top bets in nfl betting last season because the offense did more than expected. This time around, bettors should beware of the Ravens. The offense won't be surprising oddsmakers and the defense is not what it used to be. Baltimore's opening schedule should provide solid fade spots with big spreads against Kansas City, Cleveland and Cincinnati, and playing the role of the underdog at San Diego and New England.

Ravens Strength:

Quarterback Joe Flacco was one of the big stories of 2008. As a rookie, he helped lead the Ravens to within one win of a Super Bowl appearance. He passed for almost 4,000 yards and connected with receivers 14 times for touchdowns. He gave Baltimore's one-dimensional offense some punch and set up the rushing attack. Flacco was impressive for a rookie but also showed his inexperience – those three interceptions in the AFC Championship game. His accuracy needs work and he has a bad habit of staring down receivers, leading to 12 picks last year.

The Ravens’ running game opens the field up for Flacco. Last season, they marched for the fourth-most yards from scrimmage per game (148.6) and 57.7 percent of the workload on offense. Fullback Le'Ron McClain was another pleasant surprise, rumbling for 900 yards and 10 scores on the ground. He stepped up big in the second half when Willis McGahee struggled. McGahee is wearing down fast and will lose a lot of carries to McClain and the versatile Ray Rice, who missed the end of last year with a shin injury.

Ravens Weakness:

At first glance, the Ravens’ defense should not be among the team's weaknesses. The stop unit ranked second in the league – only to the rival Steelers – and has standouts like Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and Terrell Suggs. But Baltimore bid farewell to the mastermind behind the defense, coordinator Rex Ryan, and the handful of talent he took with him to New York. Also gone is CB Chris McAlister, who had three interceptions before missing the final 10 games of the season.

There is a lot of pressure on Baltimore to keep pace with Pittsburgh's defense but the Ravens just don't have the bodies to do it this season. On top of that, Baltimore's defensive leaders are getting on in age and are susceptible to injuries.

The Ravens’ offense took a nasty blow this offseason when No. 1 receiver Derrick Mason decided to hang up the cleats. At 35 years old, Mason led the team with over 1,000 yards receiving and reeled in five touchdown passes. Without him on the wing, Flacco's options are limited. Receivers Mark Clayton and Demetrius Williams are both downfield threats but neither is a prototypical wideout. Tight end Todd Heap will get more looks without Mason but isn't the same weapon like in past seasons.

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Time Team
Ravens vs Colts Pick

We expected Baltimore to have a shot to win that game last week, but to totally dominate the Patriots the way they did, was a surprise. Baltimore looked like a team that is ready to make a serious run at the Super bowl. They run the ball extremely well

Ravens vs Patriots Pick

Of all the games this weekend, this is the one that is the toughest to figure out. The Ravens have been playing exceptional football as of late, and could go all the way. That being said, the Patriots have been playing terrible football the last few weeks but are still the Patriots

Florida vs. Cincinnati Pick

With emotions running high on both sides of the ball, one team (Florida) will benefit greatly. The other will suffer an embarrassing loss on New Year’s Day. Cincinnati is playing without former head coach Brian Kelly, who led the Bearcats to significant success in recent years

Ravens vs Steelers Pick

Now we’re talking. The Steelers proved last week that they are alive and well, and won’t give up their title without a fight. Baltimore has been playing the best football in the NFL as of late. Both of these teams need this one badly. Pittsburgh to make the playoffs and Baltimore to have an outside shot at the division

Lions vs Ravens Pick

We really felt that Baltimore would play better Monday night at Green Bay last week but too many mistakes and penalties cost them the game. Joe Flacco has to stop thinking he is Joe Namath, start to play within himself as he did last year

Steelers vs Ravens Pick

There was no line at the time of the writing of this column because of the uncertain Pittsburgh QB situation. Charlie Batch is gone, and but it looks like “Indestructible Big Ben”, will play even with his head injury. He has proven before how hard his head is

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Pick

Not quite the same allure as the Red River Rivalry between Texas and Oklahoma, but this week’s Bedlam Rivalry game is Oklahoma State’s Super Bowl. The Cowboys have had a tremendous season so far and Oklahoma is sitting at 6-5, ensured of its worst season since 1999

Virginia Tech vs Virginia Pick

Virginia coach Al Groh has beaten the Cavaliers’ arch rival Hokies just one time in his nine years at UVA. He and the Cavaliers look to make that number two and possibly avoid his firing this Saturday in Charlottesville. The Hokies are in a down year at 8-3 and will not contend for the ACC Championship,

Alabama vs Auburn Pick

Despite an 11-0 record up to this point, Alabama still realistically needs to win its next two games to get into the National Championship. With Florida a perfect 11-0 as well, the Crimson Tide will need to beat Auburn this week and Florida in the SEC Championship

Nevada vs Boise State Pick

Boise State doesn’t play too many home games where they are only 14 point favorites, but that is exactly what they are this week when Nevada comes to play on the blue turf. Boise State needs a win this week, and badly. Though the Broncos are 11-0, their only hope for a BCS appearance

Raiders vs Cowboys Pick

At first glance you might think that it was quite a shocker that Oakland beat Cincinnati last week, but at we said the Bengals were coming off their biggest win in years and might be flat. We also felt that Jamarcus Russell was hindering the Raider offense and the switch to anybody but he was the correct move

Colts vs Ravens Pick

This is an interesting matchup. At first look you might ask how the Ravens are favored in this game, but when you look more closely at it, you will see why. If there is any defense that can possibly stop Peyton Manning, it would be Baltimore. The Colts are coming off of a really big win and might be a little flat. The Ravens were embarrassed

Ravens vs Browns Pick

The Ravens are very angry about the way their season been going. They come into this game at 4-4, but they are a much better team then that. The Browns on the other hand really don’t care about how their season is going. They come into this game at 1-7

Ravens vs Bengals Pick

This is going to be a great battle, as the game was a few weeks ago in which the Bengals won 17-14. The Ravens still remember losing that game in the last few minutes. This matchup will have Division Championship implications down the road. The Ravens need this one slightly

Ravens vs Broncos Pick

When we pick a 13 point teaser, we look for games that either will win or we will be very shocked that they didn’t cover. Of all the games left on the schedule this game comes closest to fitting into those rules. Denver has been surprising people all year, and has been playing some of the best defense in all of football.

Ravens vs Vikings Pick

This is going to be a pretty good game. Both of these teams are playing better then we thought they would. The Vikings are coming in at 5-0, after getting a “bye" last week versus the Rams.

Bengals vs Ravens Pick

Finally a game worth watching and talking about, after all of the crappy games we covered so far. Obviously we can’t rule out Pittsburgh, after their new offense played great last week vs. the Chargers

Ravens vs Patriots Pick

This could be the Game of the Week. We are finally starting to believe in Baltimore after years of saying they are overrated. The reason is they had no QUARTERBACK. They do now.

Chargers vs Dolphins Pick

Both of these teams have problems. Miami really can’t play offense at the N.F.L. level. They look like a college or high school team at times, with their “Wildcat” offense and their quarterback who throws the ball like a shot put. Another quarterback, who has a funky delivery is Phillip Rivers

Browns vs Ravens Pick

Our 13 point teaser bet of the Week begins in Baltimore. We hit on most of our big teasers last week, but the one they we were worried about, and let us down was Cleveland.

Giants vs Buccaneers Pick

This game scares me, not only as a Giant fan but as a bettor. This is a trap game for the Giants. After 2 huge wins against division rivals, Dallas and Washington, they now play 3 games in a row versus bad teams

Packers vs Rams

The next 2 games that we are picking, we are going a little bit out on a limb. There are 2 home dogs that both played very well last week as huge underdogs. Both teams had opportunities to win outright but didn’t.

Ravens vs Chargers Betting

Baltimore looked very impressive vs. K.C. last week. The offense is getting better and better, and you always know that the defense will be good.

Chiefs versus ravens betting pick 2009

It’s a real shame that Matt Cassell got hurt in the preseason. He is a really good quarterback that was certainly going to help the Kansas City Chiefs. What people don’t realize though is that their backups are pretty good as well.

Redskins at the Ravens - Preseason 2009

The Redskins travel to Charm City in a rematch from last year’s 24-10 Baltimore victory, though neither team bears much resemblance to last season’s squads.

Monday Night Football Betting Monday Night Football Betting

Probably the most well known handicapping angle is the “Monday Night Home Underdog.”

Betting on bad weather games Betting on bad weather games

Stop thinking about rain by itself as a bad weather indicator. Look at the mix of wind, turf quality, and precipitation. It's the mix that matters, not one third of the mix.

Beating NFL 1st Quarter Lines Beating NFL 1st Quarter Lines

Bettors no longer have to look at mere sides and/or game totals to strike it rich as mostly all the online sports books (and many Las Vegas) outlets provide first and second half wagering lines along with quarter by quarter prices too on football betting.

NFL Baltimore Ravens News

  • Countdown Daily Season Recap: Ravens
    Tedy Bruschi recaps the Ravens' 2009 season and looks ahead to 2010
  • Video: Bloggers on Ravens-Colts
    ...Oil Stadium, Paul Kuharsky and James Walker review the Colts' 20-3 divisional playoff win over the Ravens
  • Ravens, Colts match early kicks
    INDIANAPOLIS--The Baltimore Ravens have done very well lately in the first quarter, and Saturday night's opening drive was no...
  • What will happen with Wilfork?
    ...of Sunday's playoff loss to the Baltimore Ravens became inevitable. "As the time ticked off that...Wilfork, guaranteeing him an average salary of the NFL's five highest-paid nose tackles, but that...
  • Video: Jets last AFC East team standing
    What a turn of events in the AFC East. The New York Jets barely slip into the playoffs yet advance to the second round with an impressive victory over...
  • Video: Patriots' Brady on loss
    Patriots quarterback Tom Brady discusses what went wrong in Sunday's 33-14 loss to Baltimore.
  • A first-half beatdown by the numbers
    The early beatdown the Baltimore Ravens have administered to the New England Patriots was...to consider: The worst home playoff loss in NFL history was 34 points, when the Minnesota Vikings...
  • Patriots imploding at home
    ...four. The Gillette Stadium crowd is booing the Patriots, who are losing 24-0 to the Baltimore Ravens with time left in the first quarter. The Patriots hadn't allowed 20 or more points in...
  • The book on Ravens-Pats ref Steratore
    The NFL assigned referee Gene Steratore to Sunday's playoff game between the Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots in Gillette Stadium. A few notes...

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